Saturday, February 2, 2013

Super Bowl XLVII Prediction

  Baltimore vs San Francisco -3.5 47.5
     The Harbaugh brothers lead their respective squads into the Bayou looking to claim their first Super Bowl title as a head coach. A lot has been said about how this game, more than any other in recent memory, is extremely hard to predict. I agree that this Super Bowl looks to be very tight, on paper, but not any more difficult to predict than any of the recent Super Bowls. However, what I will say is how this game features some of the more unpredictable players ever to square off in a Super Bowl. Take last year's game, for example. Obviously, not many people had a firm idea of who was going to win last year's Super Bowl between the Patriots and Giants. But, we did have an idea of what to expect from both teams. We knew that the Patriots would need to win by having Tom Brady pick apart the Giants defense and we knew that the Giants would need to get the best from their stellar pass rush in order to disrupt the rhythm of the Patriots offense. While we had a rough idea of what to expect from last year's
Super Bowl, does anyone have any idea how this one is going to play out on Sunday? Well, I don't have that much more of an idea than anyone else, but I will give you my thoughts. I do not see Colin Kapernick running around like he did against Green Bay in the Divisonal Round. Baltimore's defense is tougher than both Green Bay and Atlanta and their physical nature will not allow Kaepernick to run around with consistent success. Even though I believe Colin Kapernick will not run the ball very well himself, the 49ers offensive line will outplay Baltimore's defensive line, allowing Frank Gore to top 100 yards rushing. To counter the 49ers, Baltimore's passing attack will have success against San Francisco's defense. Even though San Francisco clamped down against Atlanta, Matt Ryan was able to have success finding Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez for most of the afternoon. Joe Flacco is capable of locating his plethora of targets against the 49ers defense that can not get after the quarterback as well of late after Aldon Smith injured his triceps a month and a half ago. My concluding thought on the game has to do with the Ravens motivation. We all know this is the last stand for Ray Lewis, but will the Ravens legendary defense featuring Ed Reed and Terrell Suggs ever play in a bigger game than this? The Raven's greats know what's at stake. Baltimore out duels San Francisco to win Super Bowl XLVII.
Baltimore 27-20
Spread Baltimore 900
O/U Under 900 
Super Bowl MVP: Joe Flacco 

Scoring Summary
1st- David Akers 29 Yard Field Goal                                       3-0
1st- David Akers 41 Yard Field Goal                                       6-0
2nd- Torrey Smith 18 Yard TD Pass from Joe Flacco           6-7
2nd- Frank Gore 13 Yard Touchdown Run                           13-7
2nd- Justin Tucker 49 Yard Field Goal                                   13-10
3rd- Ray Rice 11 Yard TD Pass from Joe Flacco                   13-17
3rd- Frank Gore 6 Yard Touchdown Run                             20-17
4th- Vonta Leach 2 Yard Touchdown Run                            20-24
4th- Justin Tucker 53 Yard Field Goal                                    20-27

Stats
Joe Flacco- 22-37 284 Yards 2 TD 1 INT
Colin Kaepernick- 15-28 174 Yards 0 TD 1 INT 

Ray Rice- 21 Attempts 63 Yards 0 TD
Frank Gore- 24 Attempts 113 Yards 2 TD
Colin Kaepernick- 5 Attempts 18 Yards 0 TD

Dennis Pitta- 7 Catches 60 Yards 0 TD
Anquan Boldin- 7 Catches 48 Yards 0 TD
Torrey Smith- 4 Catches 97 Yards 1 TD
Ray Rice- 2 Catches 59 Yards 1 TD 

Vernon Davis- 4 Catches 78 Yards 0 TD
Michael Crabtree- 3 Catches 27 Yards 0 TD  
Delanie Walker- 3 Catches 20 Yards 0 TD
Randy Moss- 3 Catches 48 Yards 0 TD

Ed Reed- 1 Int 
Carlos Rogers- 1 Int

Terrell Suggs- 1 Sack
Aldon Smith- 1.5 Sacks 
Ray McDonald- 0.5 Sack            

Prop Bets
Randy Moss- 2.5 Receptions- Over 500
Length of National Anthem- 113.5- Over 200 
Result of Coin Toss- Tails- 100
Beyonce Performs Alongside Jay-Z- Yes- 300
Super Bowl MVP- Joe Flacco or Anquan Boldin- 200



Super Bowl XLVII: 
Conference Titles: 3,400 
Divisional: 2,400 
Wild Card: 3,800
Week 17: 11,800
Week 16: 11,900
Week 15: 11,000 
Week 14: 11,800 
Week 13: 12,700
Week 12: 11,300
Week 11: 9.700
Week 10: 11,300
Week 9: 10,300
Week 8: 9,000
Week 7: 9,900
Week 6: 9,900
Week 5: 11,700
Week 4: 11,800
Week 3: 13,200
Week 2: 11,900 
Week 1: 14,200
Total: 158,900

Super Bowl XLVII: 1-0
Conference Titles: 0-2
Divisional: 2-2
Wild Card: 2-2
Playoffs: 5-6
Week 17: 12-4
Week 16: 11-5
Week 15: 9-7
Week 14: 10-6
Week 13: 8-8
Week 12: 10-6
Week 11: 11-3
Week 10: 9-4-1
Week 9: 12-2
Week 8: 8-4
Week 7: 11-2
Week 6: 3-11
Week 5: 11-3
Week 4: 7-8
Week 3: 7-9
Week 2: 11-5
Week 1: 11-5
Record: 14-4-3
Total: 166-98-1 

Super Bowl XLVII: -500
Conference Titles: +600
Divisional: +3000 
Wild Card: -1000
Week 17: +800
Week 16: +2700
Week 15: +1000
Week 14: -2200
Week 13: -2100
Week 12: -1500
Week 11: -600
Week 10: +1500
Week 9: +4600
Week 8: +2200
Week 7: +3300
Week 6: -1900
Week 5: +3100
Week 4: +4000
Week 3: -1300
Week 2: -1000
Week 1: +200
Season Record: 12-9
Season Total: +12,700

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